Using ARIMA and Random Forest Models for Climatic Datasets Forecasting

نویسندگان

چکیده

The climatic changes have important role which may lead to huge problems for the health of human and other organisms, therefore it is necessary study forecast this type datasets reduce . damages through planning controlling these in future. main problem can be summarized nonlinearity dataset its chaotic changes. common approach integrated autoregressive moving average model (ARIMA) as traditional univariate time series approach. Therefore, more appropriate studying data has been proposed obtaining accurate forecasting, called random forest (RF) model.This cannot deal with nonlinear correctly that inaccurate forecasting results. In thesis, are studied represented by minimum air temperature rational humidity agricultural meteorological station Nineveh. This thesis aims satisfy homogeneity different seasons find suitable minimal error comparing ARIMA model. research found adequate data, was there some factors contribute increase number deaths epidemic, such advanced age patient, length stay hospital, percentage oxygen patient's blood, addition incidence chronic diseases asthma. recommended a in-depth types models, use estimation methods, paying attention methods recording city department.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: IRAOI JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SCIENCES

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2664-2956', '1680-855X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33899/iqjoss.2022.176203